Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ADA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-03-09 0.687507 0.785387 0.891169 1.013849 1.152075 1.302854 1.479647
2025-03-16 0.553258 0.689881 0.849606 1.049544 1.292503 1.577515 1.936518
2025-03-23 0.463111 0.625875 0.830314 1.104494 1.460940 1.906817 2.504778
2025-03-30 0.376604 0.549159 0.780988 1.112479 1.571041 2.179211 3.042321
2025-04-06 0.318121 0.497781 0.754614 1.144014 1.713841 2.510310 3.699098
2025-04-13 0.259043 0.433779 0.698838 1.123656 1.779038 2.741021 4.245426
2025-04-20 0.226901 0.404169 0.687915 1.165957 1.939028 3.123976 5.054692
2025-04-27 0.201728 0.380768 0.682087 1.213763 2.111648 3.543456 5.965011
2025-05-04 0.175335 0.350099 0.658812 1.228245 2.230433 3.889569 6.795876
2025-05-11 0.151675 0.319759 0.630805 1.229360 2.324871 4.203701 7.605069
2025-05-18 0.131918 0.293015 0.604695 1.229117 2.415056 4.517618 8.443148
2025-05-25 0.116528 0.272039 0.585883 1.238980 2.523186 4.871566 9.383356
2025-06-01 0.104533 0.256244 0.575299 1.264187 2.664930 5.303770 10.514388
2025-06-08 0.091208 0.234953 0.550123 1.256347 2.741307 5.622921 11.469615
2025-06-15 0.082882 0.223561 0.544107 1.287274 2.898524 6.110580 12.790111
2025-06-22 0.072517 0.205162 0.519651 1.274747 2.963918 6.424881 13.803833
2025-06-29 0.065754 0.194476 0.511106 1.296269 3.103875 6.901392 15.183866
2025-07-06 0.056794 0.176120 0.481326 1.264391 3.122406 7.129446 16.078366
2025-07-13 0.052806 0.170612 0.482256 1.305580 3.310175 7.730860 17.804054
2025-07-20 0.049553 0.166550 0.486214 1.354650 3.521586 8.402343 19.737088
2025-07-27 0.045060 0.157852 0.476598 1.368058 3.649671 8.902026 21.340444
2025-08-03 0.040535 0.148066 0.462430 1.367587 3.743698 9.333437 22.829675
2025-08-10 0.036505 0.138968 0.448680 1.366216 3.835087 9.766692 24.359709